Ford, in `Meltdown,' May Seek Wage Cut

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Ford, in `Meltdown,' May Seek Wage Cut, Analyst Says





Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Ford Motor Co. is in ``a company meltdown'' and may

ask the United Auto Workers union to accept reduced pay and benefits during

this year's contract talks, a labor economist said.



A 20 percent cut in wages and benefits could lower Ford's costs by $1.4

billion per year for four years, Sean McAlinden, an an analyst with the

Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Michigan, said today. Such a

reduction would provide Ford with only temporary relief, because U.S. rivals

General Motors Corp. and DaimlerChrysler AG's Chrysler would quickly demand

matching concessions, he said.



``If Ford's market share falls to 10 or 12 percent by this summer, and if

they start to burn cash at twice the rate they've planned, something will

have to be done,'' McAlinden said at a labor-relations seminar in Ypsilanti,

Michigan.



Ford, the world's third-largest automaker, captured 15.2 percent of U.S.

sales in January. The company lost a record $12.7 billion last year on

plunging sales of pickups and sport-utility vehicles. The company's UAW

contract, along with similar agreements at GM and Chrysler, expire Sept. 14.



Ford spokeswoman Marcey Evans declined to comment on the company's goals for

the contract talks. In a Jan. 3 meeting with reporters, Ford Chief Executive

Officer Alan Mulally said he plans to ask the union's help in strengthening

the company. He said wages, benefits and flexibility in deploying workers

would be issues.



``We're really, really worried about Ford,'' said McAlinden.



Ford shares rose 11 cents to $8.64 at 12:20 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange

composite trading. GM shares fell 18 cents to $36.16, and DaimlerChrysler's

U.S. shares fell 40 cents to $72.93.



Ford's Labor Bill



During 2006, Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford spent $3,227 per North

American-built vehicle on labor, a 15.1 percent increase in two years,

McAlinden said. The 2006 figure includes $2,592 per vehicle for wages and

health care for active workers, and $635 for retiree health care.



GM last year spent $3,289 per North American-built vehicle on labor, for a

14.7 percent increase over the two-year span, McAlinden said. The GM figure

includes $2,339 per vehicle for wages and health care for active workers,

and $950 for retiree health care.



Detroit-based GM, the world's largest automaker, reported net losses of

$3.03 billion through three quarters of last year, and has delayed its

fourth-quarter earnings release.



When Ford's current UAW contract expires in September, its number of active

UAW employees will have declined by 41 percent in four years to 55,000,

McAlinden said. GM's UAW headcount will have declined by 39 percent to

76,000, and Chrysler will have dropped by 30 percent, to 46,000, he said.



The three companies combined hope to cut another 20,000 UAW jobs by 2011,

McAlinden said.



`Baby Boomers' Retire



By that time, about 90 percent of GM's current workers --the so-called

``Baby Boom'' generation hired during the 1960s and 1970s, will have

retired. The company's willingness to replace them depends on whether the

UAW accepts wages and benefits for newly hired workers that match those at

Japanese-owned assembly plants in the U.S., McAlinden said. The replacement

rate will also depend on the union's flexibility in factory work rules that

affect productivity.



Toyota Motor Corp. now pays its U.S. assemblers $26 an hour, compared with

$28 an hour at Detroit-based companies, he said. Toyota enjoys an even

bigger overall cost advantage because, among other things, it doesn't offer

a UAW-style early retirement option after 30 years of service.



``I
 
I work at G.M. in Spring Hill TN., and the Union is already telling us to pay

off loans and go on a budget, cause come September, It ain't gonna

be pretty!:wacko::wacko::wacko:
 

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