The State of General Motors

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TrainTrac

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An interesting OpEd on how GM came to be in the condition they're in today. I think this same observation could be applied to all of the Big Three.



Warning: Union members probably won't like reading this, as it faults the UAW also, not just GM management...



Once Upon a Time in America

Why GM and the UAW's postwar economic vision failed.



BY MICHAEL BARONE

Sunday, November 27, 2005 12:01 a.m.



The end, or the beginning of the end, of a familiar and comfortable world: That's how General Motors' announcement last week of massive layoffs and plant closings, following the bankruptcy of Delphi last month, strikes one who grew up in the Detroit area in the two decades immediately after World War II. In that world, it was easy to imagine you were at the center of the economy. Detroit was then the fifth-largest metropolitan area, the home of the Big Three auto companies and the United Auto Workers--national institutions of the greatest importance. The news media followed the negotiations between the UAW and the Big Three company it picked as a target every few years, and it was assumed that the wages and benefits agreed to would set a pattern for the whole economy.

And a very good economy it seemed to be. Left behind were the Depression and the anxious years of World War II. The UAW was able to negotiate big hourly pay increases and generous medical and pension benefits as well. With no effective competition, the Big Three could pass along the cost of UAW contracts to consumers who seemed willing to pay more for dramatically restyled and heavily advertised cars. General Motors' president, Harlow Curtice, was Time's Man of the Year for 1955. This was a recognition not just of an individual (I wonder how able an executive Curtice was) but of a system; Time might have honored UAW's longtime president, Walter Reuther.



The success of the Big Three and the UAW seemed a fit symbol of America's postwar economic dynamism. In fact, this was an economy characterized not by dynamism but by stasis, to use Virginia Postrel's term in "The Future and Its Enemies." New Deal legislation had been designed not for economic growth but for protection from the downward spiral of deflation. Those laws, not least by encouraging unions, strove to prop up wages and prices and to provide security to workers and existing firms. Keynesian economics was employed to flatten out the business cycle as much as possible and to reduce unemployment.



By the mid-1960s, it was generally agreed that this system worked and would continue indefinitely. The Big Three could always make money by rolling out the big cars families needed to go up north each summer. As John Kenneth Galbraith then argued, auto makers could induce consumers to buy as many cars as they wanted to sell by clever advertising. UAW workers could always look forward to ever-increasing wages and benefits. The big demand in the 1970 contract negotiations was retirement for auto workers in their early 50s. The confrontational labor-management politics of the 1940s and 1950s was replaced by consensus, as Henry Ford II joined Reuther in endorsing LBJ in 1964.



Reuther, a man of great energy and ability, wanted to use the UAW as an entering wedge to transform America into a Scandinavian-style welfare state. His contracts would set the pattern for national wages; the union movement would expand into new industries and unionize most of the economy; growth would enable workers to enjoy not only high wages, but job security, medical benefits, generous pensions. They would be protected against competition by large corporations. Reuther employed a Scandinavian architect to build Solidarity House, the union's headquarters on the Detroit River, and Black Lake, its educational center in northern Michigan. Reuther, like Marx, and like so many other social democrats, envisioned workers devoting their increasing leisure hours to pursu
 
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I was thinking the same thing. If Ford & Chrysler don't learn to put out a better product then they will soon follow. About 6 or 7 yrs ago a retired GM worker that had worked in the St.Louis plant worked a summer at my place of employment, he told us the old rumor was true about not buying a vehicle that was made on monday or friday. If you did chances are you would get a lemon. pitiful, very pitiful
 
Another piece on GM...



Recapturing the pilgrim spirit

By Star Parker



Nov 28, 2005





Every year the day before Thanksgiving, the Wall Street Journal publishes an excerpt from the journal of one of the pilgrim settlers of the Plymouth Colony in 1620.



The journal record depicts the harsh new reality in which these settlers found themselves, and that "if they looked behind them, there was a mighty ocean which they had passed, and was now as a main bar or gulph to separate them from all the civil parts of the world."



For those who established the first settlements in this country, it was more important to be free than to be secure. Fortified with their faith and their bible, they left what was known and secure to build what they thought would be a better life in an unsettled, harsh and as yet unformed new land.



Today, almost 400 years later, there's a sense in the country that things are not as they should be. In the latest Harris poll, only 27 percent responded that they thought the country is on the right track and 68 percent said we're on the wrong track.



As we begin the holiday season and give thanks for what we have, I think the nation's great challenge is to recapture the spirit of those pilgrims.



Recent headlines about the problems at General Motors say a lot about the state of affairs in America.



When the American automobile industry began and General Motors was founded a century ago, the federal government accounted for around three cents of every dollar that our economy produced. Today the take of the federal government has grown to around twenty cents for every dollar produced.



Much of this growth in government reflects what I would call the transformation from a culture of responsibility to a culture of entitlement.



The assertion of union power and the growth of the welfare state transferred the sense of responsibility for solving personal problems from individuals and families to organizations. The government will take care of you. The company will take care of you. The union will take care of you.



Company pension plans, company health care plans, Social Security, Medicare, and welfare emerged from a mentality that life's uncertainties could be taken care of with the right institutions. We then built on top of this a layer of social legislation constructed on the premise that not only could life's uncertainties submit to social engineering, but so could all sense of social injustice.



General Motors carries all the baggage of that world and has become more like a government agency than a business. Spending more time thinking about satisfying entitlement claims than thinking like entrepreneurs in a world in which nothing can be taken for granted, you have to wonder whether GM really has any hope of transforming itself.



But, if General Motors is a mirror of the country's problems, and its survival is in question, what does this say about the country as a whole? We might compare General Motors' predicament to that of Wal-Mart.



Wal-Mart is being attacked for not being General Motors, which is flirting with bankruptcy. The protesters want Wal-Mart to submit to the unions and to the take-care-of-you-for-life benefit plans that are driving GM and similar older corporations into oblivion.



The outcome of Wal-Mart's dilemma will reflect how courageous and entrepreneurial the management really is. One possibility is that they will cave to political pressure, meaning they will become the next generation's General Motors.



Or, they can be courageous and tell the truth. Talk about the new economy, the need for market-based health care reform where individual's get the same tax treatment as company's for health care purchases, the need to evolve benefits out of companies and letting individuals take care of themselves, and the need for private Social Security acco
 
They forgot to mention one very signifigant point.



The Federal government, under the recomendation of the big three, the airline industry, and the oil companies, lowered the reguired minimum funding in the employees pension plan. The reason was because there was all that money in there sitting dormant that could be better used investing back into the company.



As usual, the money was not invested back into the company, but, rather put in the packets of the CEO, CFO, and other high up in the company.



Now, when the baby boomers are starting to retire, the money that should have been in the pesnion account is no longer there.



The major companies that should have had the money in the pensin fund start shifting the blame onto the unions, high costs of raw material, and rising insurance costs as the reason they are running out of money.





Tom
 
I know a way for both GM and Ford to sell more vehicles. Give longer warranties. Three year 36k is just to short for today's vehicle prices. How about a 5 year 70k warranty. 10 year 100k would be even better. Come on GN and Ford. You say your building quality vehicles, put your money where your mouth is.
 
Between paying for retired employees and health care for workers it is very difficult to compete. Lucrative Union contracts and greedy management has totally ruined the American auto industry. There are unfair trade practices that prevent cars from being sold in Japan in unlimited quantities. They have a quota system. If you want the American industries to have a chance you MUST level the playing fields. BTW the other auto industries have a tremendous amount of call backs also. The quality between the manufacturers is tightening up. German electronics is terrible in the BMWs. Honda has their problems too. Want to help American industries, buy American when the quality is equal.
 
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MikeC: I see your point, but do you really think the average Japanese consumer would buy a Dodge Neon when he can buy a far superior Toyota Corolla? Most American sized cars won't fit on the roads in Japan.
 
Seems to me that sales went way up last summer when everybody offered "employee pricing". That tells me that if they charge less they sell more. Same with Christmas sales. Of course charging less can mean getting less, such as the 1/4 length inner-fender splash guards on my Trac that I just got done replacing with the full-size ones at $20 each. ;)



Doesn't matter, China is going to own us and the rest of the world in 20 years anyway.
 
Doesn't matter, China is going to own us and the rest of the world in 20 years anyway.



Sad, but probably true. We make those payments nearly every day.
 
China will only own us if they get a handle on their environmental problems. They may pollute themselves into non-existence first.
 
We'll probably shell out billions to clean their environment for them if it gets too bad. That's just us.
 
JohnnyO, Employee pricing COST GM a couple hundred dollars for EACH car they sold. I guess they thought they could make it up in volume. BTW Ford LOST $14.00 per car and Daimler Chrysler made only a few bucks per car. They can't sell at that price and make a profit. Costs have to go down in order to lower the price.



Darin, no Japan would not buy many Neons, but would take any large detroit iron that they could get their hands on. The Japanese Execs love this type of car, but import quotas prevent them from getting them.
 
China - The Next Great Yellow Threat



I remember all the dire predictions of the Japanese "buying up America".



A generation older than me remembers the inevitable evolution of capitalism to socialism to communism.



The biggest threat to China will be their own success. With that success will come intellectual and political transparency that will destroy the Communist regime. I don't fear a capitalistic and democratic China, I fear central planners and despots with nukes and ICBM's (thanks to Loral selling them multi-stage rocket technology).



 
I know a way for both GM and Ford to sell more vehicles. Give longer warranties. Three year 36k is just to short for today's vehicle prices. How about a 5 year 70k warranty. 10 year 100k would be even better. Come on GN and Ford. You say your building quality vehicles, put your money where your mouth is.



Chevy Trailblazer 3y/36k

Isuzu Ascender 3y/50k with a 7y/75k limited



Same vehicle..... which one will I buy? :)
 
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