KL,
He was informed of Osama's location months ago, but he said that it took those months to "run the thread to ground" and that Obama had to be sure of success before he'd even contemplate the action.
They never knew for sure that bin Laden was at that compound...even at the time of the actual raid, then did not have any concrete evidence that bin Laden was there! The was obviously justifiable reasons that eventually convinced them that bin Laden was there. That part of the reason why they wanted to send in commando rather than just bomb the compound and destroy all the evidence and never know for sure if bin Laden was there.
Why? It would have just been a military operation that no one knew about.
Perhaps, but then again, there probably would have been a loss of some lives, and the Pakistani's would have found evidence of the failed mission and started crying foul. The Pakistani's are already complaining about this incursion into their country, even though we got bin Laden. I don't think it could have be covered up had it failed...but that would depend upon the magnitude of the failed mission.
With Bin Laden gone, Obama has a great opportunity to pull out the troops from the Middle East. It's like the reverse of the 9/11 incident--fanatical patriotism could be used to almost unanimously end a war right now. I'm curious if the opportunity will be taken, and if it is, I fear we'll be worse for it.
Of course, that is his perrogative as President, but I think this wave of patriotism would be better served in using the data from bin Laden's hideout and deal some crushing blows to Al Qaida and decapitate their leadership at every level we can find them. That will require time for Al Qaida to reorganize and that may allow time for the US to withdraw from Iraq and Afghanistan and still monitor how Al Quida responds.
Remember that during his campaign, Obama was going to close Gitmo, and withdraw from Iraq. That has not happened because like most candidates who win the election, he is now more educated in the realities of the situation and that he are not the ulitmate power in this world. Of couse he will never admit that things are different, but I think his delay in pulling troops out of Iraq would indicate that his assesment of the situation changed from when he was a Candidate, and when he became President.
Even President George W. Bush said there was a lot of things that would be going on in secret and it would appear that nothing was happening, but things just could not be published. Obama pledged to have an open, transparent administration, but we know that has not happened, and reality dictates that we cannot always operate that way.
...Rich